Monday, May 24, 2010

2010 Fantasy Rankings QBs

Here are the rankings of the 2010 fantasy qbs.

1. Drew Brees: Brees had 34 tds last year and over 4,000 yards passing. He is an accurate thrower who will continue to excel in Sean Payton's offense. Brees should have another 30 tds and 4,000 yards.

2. Peyton Manning: Manning is Mr. Consistent in fantasy. Over 25 tds and 4,000 yards. Last year he had 33 td passes and should continue that again this year.

3. Phillip Rivers: Rivers had 28 tds last year and over 4,500 yards. San Diego will emphasize the run a little bit more this year so Rivers stats may take a slight hit but he still should have 25 tds and over 4,000 yards.

4. Aaron Rodgers: In his 2nd full season as starter Rodgers had 3o td passes and over 4,000 yards. He proved he is a top fantasy qb and will have another big year.

5. Tom Brady: Brady came off injury and had a great year. Brady is consistent and he is a great qb. That being said he may have a little of a down year because Wes Welker is not expected back from injury until November but Julian Eddelman filled in nicely for him last year.

6. Matt Schaub: Schaub had a good season last year. He was hurt by throwing 15 interceptions. Take those away and he could be a top 5 qb. Add in the weapon of Andre Johnson and Schaub has the potential to have a big game each week.

7. Tony Romo: Romo proved last year that he is a top 10 fantasy qb. He really matured and became a team leader. He got away from forcing the ball to TO and Roy Williams and just plain throwing and having fun. That lead to the emergence of Miles Austin and Jason Witten had another great year. Add in Dez Bryant and Romo should have another big fantasy year. Look for him to have over 25 tds and 4,000 yards.

8. Brett Favre: If Favre comes back (indications are now since he had his ankle surgery) he is a top 10 fantasy qb. Last year he had 33 tds and benefited from the emergence of Sidney Rice and Percy Harvin. Favre should come back gunning and expect close to 30 tds again.

9. Eli Manning: Manning had 27 td passes last year. Steve Smith became a playmaker for him and Hakeem Nicks should make huge strides in year two. Add in an above average tight end in Kevin Boss and Eli is looking at over 25 tds again.

10. Matt Ryan: Ryan has come into the NFL and has really shown he is a solid player. He improved from year one to two. I expect to see the continued improvement this year which makes him the number 10 fantasy qb. He had 22 tds last year and I expect him to get to 25 this year.

11. Joe Flacco: With the addition of Anquan Boldin and a few tight ends through the draft I expect big things from Flacco this year. Much like Ryan he has improved his last two years and should get 25 td passes this year. He might not get to 25 because of the emphasis on the run in Baltimore but in Flacco's third year Cam Cameron maybe willing to let Flacco air it out more.

12. Jay Cutler: Cutler has shown promise and at times has flashed greatness and at others looked like Ryan Leaf. With Mike Martz as his offensive coordinator I expect Cutler to have a great year passing the ball and he may even go over 30 tds this year. If a qb has the potential to throw 30 tds you are probably asking why is he ranked 12. The reason is 26 interceptions last year. Cutler's inconsistency has hurt fantasy owners and until he gets that under control I can not rank him higher. This pick is a risk reward pick.

13. Kevin Kolb: Kolb had two very good games last year and had flashes of stardom. The Eagles think so highly of him that they traded Donovan McNabb. In the offense that the Eagles run Kolb should have a big year. I say at least 25 tds if he stays healthy. The questions that face Kolb is can he withstand a 16 game schedule and in his first year starting can he avoid first year mistakes. If he can avoid them he could have a huge fantasy year.

14. Donovan McNabb: McNabb is starting over in Washington. He will be the same McNabb and he will still get 20 plus tds and have minimal interceptions. The fear with McNabb is his age, can he stay healthy for the year, and can the Redskins offensive line protect him? Those three concerns could hurt McNabb a little bit this year.

The other 18 quarterbacks will have similar statistics with each other but a few stand out to me that maybe worth taking a late round flyer on.

15. Vince Young: If healthy and if his head is on straight he has the potential to put up big numbers especially with Chris Johnson as his running back.

16. Chad Henne: Henne has a cannon for an arm and played very well last year for the Dolphins. Adding in Brandon Marshall should help improve Henne even more. Henne has the potential to be a top 10 fantasy qb by the end of the year.

17. Mark Sanchez: Sanchez had some games last year where he looked like a world beater and others where he should have been taken off the field. Towards the end of the year he seemed to understand what he needed to do to win games. With the addition of Santonio Holmes Sanchez will have another weapon at his disposal. If Sanchez and the Jets put it all together he may be able to crack the top 10 fantasy qb as well. It may be tough for him as the Jets will still look to ground and pound the ball.


Thursday, May 20, 2010

Team Rankings

Below is my list of the teams in order from best to worse. There are some surprises in my rankings but this is the way I see it today.

1. Indianapolis Colts: I liked the way the defense played last year and someone by the name of Manning is still leading this team. As usual they should get at least 12 wins and go deep in the playoffs.

2. Baltimore Ravens: With the addition of Anquan Boldin, Donte Stallworth, and Dennis Pitta the Ravens have given Joe Flacco more weapons to throw the ball too in addition to Ray Rice. The Ravens defense is still a force. With this combination this team is ready to make a run. The question is can they beat the Colts and some of the other improved AFC teams?

3. New Orleans Saints: The Saints are returning with the same team. They took a hit with the Vicodin situation but it should not affect the team. Drew Brees and his offensive weapons will return along with a fast defensive unit. I expect the Saints to win their division but they may have difficulty returning to the Super Bowl.

4. San Diego Chargers: The Chargers are a top 5 team but always seem to lose a tough playoff game. Their running game hurt them in the Jet game last year. Hopefully Ryan Matthews is their answer. The Chargers will be there again in January but the big question is can they get to the Super Bowl?

5. Dallas Cowboys: Much like the Chargers the Cowboys are usually there in January but never seem to win the big one. I expect the Cowboys to win a tough NFC East and challenge for a Super Bowl birth.

6. New England Patriots: I have this team here for two reasons. Tom Brady and Bill Bellichek. Either one or both have to leave for this team to knocked out of the top 10. I do believe the Jets and Dolphins will give New England trouble this year. Until it is done the Patriots will be ranked ahead of them.

7. New York Jets: With all of the offseason hoopla and moves the Jets are everyone's favorite to be in the Super Bowl this year. I see why. The Jets look like they will compete and will challenge New England for the top spot in the AFC East. The biggest concern for the Jets is if Mark Sanchez can continue to develop and not have a sophomore slump. If Sanchez struggles Rex Ryan may have a mutiny with all of those personalities on that team.

8. Green Bay Packers: The Packers almost defeated the Cardinals in the wildcard game last year. What killed them was their defense. If the defense wasn't so leaky they would be ranked hire. If they can improve on the defense Aaron Rodgers and the offense are more than capable of being the NFC representative in the Super Bowl.

9. Miami Dolphins: This is the 3rd AFC East team in the top 10. Maybe now they are the best division. The Fins can be the surprise team of the year. It will come down to Chad Henne's maturity. From what I have seen from him he has a strong arm and he can win in this league. If he takes a step back so will the Dolphins. With the addition of a happy Brandon Marshall this team will be solid. They have a good running game and their defense keeps them in games. I would not be surprised to see them win a tough AFC East.

10. New York Giants: The Giants had a tough year last year. They really missed Defensive Coordinator Steve Spagnola. Eli Manning and the offense should get better from last year. Their running game scares me a little because Brandon Jacobs always seems injured which could hurt this team. Their defense should be improved though their is a hole at the line backing core. The Giants may not win their division but they should get back to smash mouth Giants football and they should be in the playoffs again.

11. Atlanta Falcons: The Falcons had another good year with Mike Smith and Matt Ryan. They just missed the playoffs. Offseason moves have made this team better and they should be in the playoff hunt again. I think the NFC South maybe closer with my expectation of the Saints falling to the pack a little and the Falcons being better.

12. Carolina Panthers: My 12 and 13 selections were difficult ones. Both have huge questions at the qb position but both have good defenses and and offenses. The Panthers running game is superb and John Fox is an excellent coach. Matt Moore was 4-1 last year as a starter for the Panthers and Jimmy Claussen is ready to be a starter in this league. Both should compete and the winner should have a 10 win team. The NFC South is a tough division but the Panthers should be up for the challenge. The Panthers remind me much of the Jets of last year. Question at qb but a great team all around.

13. Minnesota Vikings: Much like the Panthers they have a great team but a big question at the qb position. If Favre does come back their ranking could be higher. If not this is about right for the Vikings.

14. Houston Texans: This team improves and looks good each year. Every year I want to put them higher but I am not sold on the coaching staff getting this team over the top. They have a good offense with great weapons but their running game seems to be an achilles heel. Their defense is young and up and coming. If this team can put it all together they have the potential to be great.

15. Pittsburgh Steelers: The Steelers seemed to have a Super Bowl hangover last year. Add in the off the field issues and 4-6 game suspension of Ben Roethlisberger and the departure of Santonio Holmes and their are alot of question marks surrounding the Steelers. Last year they struggled running the ball and protecting Big Ben. With the addition of Maukrice Pouncey the line should improve. It will be interesting to see how the team plays without Big Ben for the first part of the season. As for the defense they still are very good and I do not see a decline in how they will play. If the Steelers can play as a team and get past the distractions they will be better than what people expect.

16. San Francisco 49ers: Talk about a team that has done everything right. The defense has improved and is on the verge of being a top 10 defense. The offense played great down the stretch last year and by adding two young offensive lineman this team should be much improved. The one fear I have is their qb position. Alex Smith is getting a third chance to start and we will see if he matured and is ready to lead a team. If he does the 9ers should run away with their division and be a threat to go deep in the playoffs.

17. Tennessee Titans: After a slow start the Titans bounced back and almost made the playoffs. The Titans are a good team who have had inconsistent play at the qb position that has hurt them. Their defense hits hard and comes to play every Sunday. Chris Johnson is a great back. They need to improve at the receiver position. They have the capabilities to be good but it will come down to Vince Young.

18. Philadelphia Eagles: With the question of what Kevin Kolb can do the Eagles drop down to 18. If Kolb plays like his two starts last year the Eagles will compete for the division title. One thing is for certain with the Eagles. With Andy Reid at coach the Eagles will be in every game and will compete for a playoff spot.

19. Cincinnati Bengals: The Bengals had a great year last year. At the end they ran out of gas but played great. Their defense improved and I expect them to play at that level again this year. The Bengals got some weapons for Carson Palmer but their are questions if he can return to his old self. If he improves off of last year the Bengals can repeat what they did last year.

20. Denver Broncos: The Broncos again traded a franchise player. Last year it seemed to work for them. We will see if it works again. Demaryius Thomas should help the offense and Knowshon Moreno should improve as well. Kyle Orton is a good qb who will not lose a game. The defense played great last year but lost defensive coordinator Mike Nolan. Can they play the same without him?

21. Jacksonville Jaguars: The Jags are very similar to the Texans. They are a good team but just can not get to the next level. Their defense played better at the end of the year and the offense improved. The Jags need to answer if David Garrard is the qb of the future. If not expect many changes in Jacksonville next year maybe even a new home.

22. Arizona Cardinals: It does not sound like the Cardinals are sold on Matt Leinart and neither am I. Add in a bad running game and the loss of Anquan Boldin and the Cardinals maybe in for a long season. The Cards defense played well last year but were destroyed in their playoff game. Can the Cards replace Dansby and Rolle? If no the defense will suffer. All that being said Ken Whisenhunt and his staff has done a great job with this team. Because of that I can see the Cardinals playing well and possibly winning a weak division.

23. Oakland Raiders: The Raiders played much better when Jamarcus Russell did not play last year. Bruce Gradkowski played great and won a game in Pittsburgh. The Raiders added Jason Campbell in the offseason to compete as well. The Raiders have a decent run game and athletes at receiver. If they can put it together the offense could be competitive. The Raiders defense keeps improving and with the addition of Rolando McClain they may be ready to take the next step. I would not be surprised to see the Raiders compete for a wildcard spot.

24. Chicago Bears: With the addition of Jay Cutler and the emergence of Matt Forte the Bears looked to make a move last year. Unfortunately it did not work out for the Bears and it was a long year there. With Mike Martz on board can he improve the offense. I believe he can but can he teach Jay Cutler not to turn the ball over? We will wait to see this. The traditional Bears defense has been missing and with the addition of Julius Peppers they are hoping he will help return them to it. If they Bears can put it together they could compete.

25. Washington Redskins: The Skins play in a good division and will learn a new system with an aging veteran team. Their defense played well at moments last year and are in the process of changing to a 3-4 which takes a team about a year to adjust to. The offense will be improved with Donovan McNabb and Trent Williams. The Skins will compete and could win 6-8 games. It will be an improvement and in a year this team should be able to compete for a playoff position again.

26. Seattle Seahawks: The Hawks have made many offseason moves and look like a much improved team. The last few years have been tough for the Hawks and some of that is linked to Matt Hasselback being injured. If Hasselback stays healthy the Hawks should be able to compete in a weak division. If he is healthy I expect the Hawks to finish second but that is a big if. The Hawks defense was good last year and should improve. With the addition of Lendale White and Leon Washington (if he is healthy) will improve the Hawks running game as well as the addition of Russell Okung. Going forward the Hawks are building a nice foundation. The question for them is can they find the qb of the future that they need.

27. Detroit Lions: Matt Stafford proved last year he is a leader. The Lions improved last year and with Stafford at the helm they will this year as well. Unfortunately they are still not a good team. They should get to 5 wins or so this year. The defense is better and the offense is slowly improving. Jahvid Best should help the run game as well. The Lions may be able to put a late run together as they mature as a team and surpass the Bears in their division.

28. Kansas City Chiefs: The Chiefs at times last year looked good and at other times looked bad. Todd Haley in his second year should have his team playing better. Add in Charlie Weiss and Romeo Crennel as coordinators and this team may win 6 games. Eric Berry looks like he has the potential to be an Ed Reed type safety and if so the Chiefs defense will be greatly improved. Matt Cassell should improve as well. If things go well for the Chiefs they may be able to get to 500 and compete for a playoff spot.

29. Cleveland Browns: The Browns have been rebuilding since they re-entered the NFL. They have not had any luck drafting qbs since they have returned and it has set this franchise back. The Browns played awful last year but at the end seemed to put everything together. Mike Holgrem had a good first draft with the Browns and helped improve the team. If Jake Delhomme doesn't turn the ball over the Browns will be able to compete. The defense is average but it is a question on if the offense can get enough points to keep them in games.

30. Buffalo Bills: It is sad to think who the Bills were in the '90's and where they are now. They have been irrelevant for the last decade or so. Their first pick CJ Spiller will bring excitement to the offense but he can not do it alone. Without an offensive line and a qb it will be difficult for the Bills to get points. Their defense has some nice pieces but they always seem to be injured and it is tough for them to build continuity. It could be another long season in Buffalo this season.

31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The Bucs are a very young team with good talent. They will be able to compete but there are many questions about Josh Freeman. If he can mature the Bucs will be better. If not it could be another long season in Tampa Bay. They have improved on defense which will help but they are still not up to where they should be. Raheem Morris is a promising young coach but he may not have the mature talent for him to keep his job.

32. St. Louis Rams: Much like the Bucs the Rams have good young talent but they have not matured enough to be a threat yet. The Rams do not have much going for them. It will be interesting to see what they do with Sam Bradford. Do they throw him to the wolves like Matt Stafford and have him learn right away and possibly get injured or do they sit him for half a season and then let him play. The Rams should be better than 1 win but it will still be a long season in St. Louis.