Here is my first mock draft of the year. This will change a few times but here are my thoughts before the combine.
1. St. Louis Rams- Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska: I really want to say that the Rams should go with a qb here but the top 5 players are good I do not know if they deserve the number 1 spot. Also when rebuilding you want to rebuild both the offensive and defensive lines. Who better than the best defensive lineman coming out in a long time.
My one knock on taking a d-lineman number 1 is that I look at what the Jets did this year without Kris Jenkins and look at the players they replaced him with and how well they did and none of them are known names. That being said Suh is the right pick here.
2. Detroit Lions- Gerarld McCoy, DT, Oklahoma: Back to back d-linemen. The Lions will be happy with Suh or McCoy (though they are hoping they get Suh).
3. Tampa Bay Buccanneers- Eric Berry, S, Tennessee: The Bucs would have loved Suh or McCoy to fall to them but are thrilled to get a playmaking safety who will make an immediate impact on their defense.
4. Washington Redskins- Jimmy Clauson, QB, Notre Dame: The Redskins may keep Jason Campbell around but will look for a qb. To me Clauson in the most ready to play in the NFL of the qbs coming out having played in Charlie Weis's offense. The Redskins may go with Bradford (depending on how his shoulder is), or McCoy as well.
5. Kansas City Chiefs-Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma State: Scott Pioli follows the Parcells philosophy that you build the o-line and d-line when rebuilding and goes with the best o-linemen on the board.
6. Seattle Seahawks-Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma: This pick will depend on the health of Bradford but the Seahawks need a qb and Bradford is a prototypical NFL qb. As I said before we will have to see what is said about his injury.
7. Cleveland Browns-Joe Haden, CB, Florida: This pick will be decided on based what happens with the qbs and if Mike Holgrem feels that Brady Quinn is the qb of the future. I think Holgrem gives Quinn another year like he did with Mangini. If so he goes for the best value and Haden is that. He has the potential to be a shutdown corner and Mangini does do well with the secondary.
8. Oakland Raiders- Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers: This pick will come down to if the Raiders have given up on Jamarcus Russell or not and rumblings are saying that Al Davis has not. If that is true the Raiders need to beef up their line and Davis will help do that.
9. Buffalo Bills- Bruce Campbell, OT, Maryland: The Bills need help along the line and will be thrilled to have Campbell or Davis. Campbell is the one that falls to them. He will help their o-line immediately.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars-Rolando McClain, LB, Alabama: So I went back and forth with this pick. The Jaguars need a franchise qb and everyone has linked them and Tim Tebow. At ten I just do not see it. Tebow in a wildcat formation will really help a team but as a traditional qb I just do not see it. McClain was the leader on the National Championship team and will make this defense a very good one. His game translates nicely to the NFL and will make an impact early.
11. Denver Broncos-Dan Williams, NT, Tennessee: The Broncos defense slowed towards the end of the year. Williams will bring bulk to this team and will help them not wear down. This will help Elvis Dumerville on the outside because he will command double teams as well as the Broncos run defense. The Broncos were hoping for McClain but will be happy with a massive defensive tackle.
12. Miami Dolphins- Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma St.: Parcells does not take wide receivers in the first round. He knows he needs to get younger on his defense but he also knows his offense is in need of a wide receiver and it has hurt them. Because of this he goes with the receiver.
13. San Francisco 49ers-Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech: Morgan will help the 49ers with their pass rush. One area the 9ers needed to upgrade was their pass rushing skills and this will help them.
14. Seattle Seahawks-CJ Spillier,RB, Clemson: Spiller is the most elusive back in this draft. He is a homerun hitter who can take it to the house when he gets his hands on the ball. The Seahawks really need a player like this and Spiller fits them to a t.
15. New York Giants- Brian Price, DT, UCLA: When the Giants made it to the Super Bowl two years ago it was the defensive line and the pass rush that helped this team win that game. The Giants defense failed them this year. Former GM Ernie Acorsi believed that the o-line and d-line were the integral part of the team. Jerry Reese believes that too. The Giants may take a linebacker here too.
16. Tennessee Titans-Everson Griffen, DE, USC: The Titans did not have much of a pass rush this year and want to get away from blitzing to cause pressure on the qb. Griffen will do that for them.
17. San Francisco 49ers-Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma: The 9ers select a tackle with the 2nd pick of their 1st round. They had trouble protecting the qb and Williams will help with that.
18. Pittsburgh Steelers-Taylor Mays, S, USC: Both their backup safeties are free agents and they need a player there. Imagine Polamalu teaching Mays and playing next to each other. This could be the best safety tandem in the league very quickly.
19. Atlanta Falcons-Donovan Warren, CB, Michigan: The Falcons secondary was a downfall for them last year and they need help. Warren fills that need.
20. Houston Texans-Damian Williams, WR, USC: Andre Johnson needs a number 2. With the possible loss of Kevin Walter Williams is the best option here. He fills a need and will be a nice complement to Johnson.
21. New York Jets-Earl Thomas, FS, Texas: The Jets could go for a corner to put opposite Darrelle Revis, and a rush linebacker but were burnt by Vernon Gholston they may shy away. Knowing that they will look to help the secondary and with Kerry Rhodes having a hot and cold relationship with Rex Ryan they may look to replace him and Thomas is the best option at this point.
22. Baltimore Ravens-Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma: The Ravens need a receiver in the worse way but with Bryant and Williams off the board they go for a pass catching tight end. Gresham is big and athletic who will prove to be mismatches for safeties and linebackers.
23. Arizona Cardinals-Jerry Hughes, DE/OLB, TCU: Hughes will be the first rush linebacker selected. Many teams have been scared off by these rush linebackers because of the development of Vernon Gholston. Hughes has more upside than Gholston and the Cardinals need a true pass rusher.
24. Green Bay Packers-Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa: The Packers need help along the offensive line after the beating Aaron Rodgers took this year. Bulaga will bring that help and solidify the side he is playing for awhile. Aaron Rodgers will be a happy man.
25. Cincinnati Bengals-Brandon LaFell, WR, LSU: The Bengals need a number 2 opposite Chad Ochocince. LaFell fits that bill.
26. New England Patriots-Terrence Cody, DT, Alabama: The Patriots get the best defensive tackle available. They need help defensively to help an aging team. Cody helps in a big way.
27. Philadelphia Eagles-Greg Romeus, DT, Pittsburgh: The Eagles did not have the rush off the edge they liked and looked at Romeus and felt he could provide that. Others are available for the Eagles to take but Romeus is the best fit for them.
28. Dallas Cowboys-Ras I Dowling, CB, Virginia: The last few years the Cowboys have selected players in the secondary and with a talent like this at 28 it is hard for them to pass up. Ras will come in and push for a starting job.
29. Minnesota Vikings- Mike Iupati, G, Idaho: It is hard to believe that the Vikings line fell apart at the end of the year. To help them get their mojo back they take Iupati. He is a rugged physical player who will help protect the retired/unretired Brett Favre or whoever qbs this team. He will also assist Adrian Peterson and open more wholes for him.
30. San Diego Chargers- Jahvid Best, RB, Cal: As much help the Chargers need at the d-line position Best is tough to pass up here. With LT probably moving on the Chargers will need a compliment to Darren Sproles and Best would give them that.
31. New Orleans Saints- Sean Weatherspoon, OLB, Missouri: Weatherspoon will fit nicely next to Johnathon Vilma and Scott Shanle. This team has good players at every position and can go for the best fit and Weatherspoon is that guy.
32. Indianapolis Colts- Charles Brown, OT, USC: Tony Ugoh will probably leave do to free agency. The Colts will need a tackle to replace him and Brown fits that mold.
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